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Showing posts with label NCAA football. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NCAA football. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

Top 25 Poll: It's About to Get Ugly


The college football landscape got a bit of a makeover on Saturday thanks to Oklahoma pounding Texas Tech. The results have already been shown in the BCS standings, but now it’s time to figure out what the shake up did to the Walker-Sports College football standings.


1) Alabama: The Iron Bowl is right around the corner, but for all the obvious reasons this years edition of a great Southern rivalry is not as exciting. What Alabama needs to do is make sure they stay focused. First they must focus on Auburn and pour everything they have into that game. Once the final whistle is blown they can look around the corner to Florida. But they have to take it one step at a time, as there is still a lot of work to do.


2) Oklahoma: The Sooners put together their best performance of the season on Saturday, and it could not have come at a better time. National television against the second ranked team in the country and the Oklahoma Sooners destroyed the Texas Tech Red Raiders. The Sooners offense looked dangerous and their defense smothered Texas Tech. While Saturday was great, the Sooners must put it behind them and now focus on Oklahoma State. Handle business there, and this whole BCS/Big 12 mess should sort itself out and the Oklahoma Sooners will end up exactly where they deserve.


3) Florida Gators: Some people will say, Florida got screwed by ending up third in this poll, but at the end of the day, they are in the best position of any team in the top 25. While they are sitting in the third spot, Florida controls its own destiny. Yes the Gators still need to get by in state rival Florida State next weekend, and God only knows which FSU team will show up. But once they are done with that, it’s pretty much assured that the Gators will match up against Alabama for the SEC title. If Florida wins that game, then they is in, it’s pretty simple.


4) USC: It’s going to be very funny to me when USC finishes the season in the top five in the country and fails to win the Pac-10. Nonetheless, the Trojans have put together a good season, but that one lost on a Thursday night looks like it will bite them in the ass. I bet you that Pete Carroll and company are wishing the Pac-10 had a conference championship now.


5) Texas: The Longhorns are getting screwed. No other way to put it really. Texas has done everything right, but they will need a lot of help to get back into the mix of things. The way Oklahoma destroyed Texas Tech actually hurt Texas because Texas lost to the Red Raiders. It also does not help the Longhorns that they lost to the Red Raiders just a few weeks ago. Teams that lose early are rewarded, while those who lose late are punished.


6) Utah: The dream season remains in tact and after winning in their big game against BYU. It is set and done that that the Utes will be a part of the BCS one again. This will make them a two time BCS party crasher. It has been a great season, and they will enjoy playing the Bearcats in a game that Utah should win.


7) Boise State: America’s favorite BCS busters are still in the mix and alive and well. Boise State has worked its way into the top ten in the BCS rankings and if they can hold on against Fresno State they too will be BCS dancing once again. If the chips fall correctly, Boise State could get a shot at an ACC team, and if that is the case they will be celebration their second win in a BCS game.


8) Penn State: Joe Pa could not have written a better exit plan for his storied career. Penn State has dominated the Big 10 all season, and after destroying Michigan State, PSU is on their way to the Rose Bowl. Everything has just fallen into place for Penn State, now let’s hope that Joe Pa does the right thing and steps down after his big game.


9) Ball State: I feel like a broken record saying this, but this has been a great year for Ball State and they have done everything right. However at the end of the day, they fail to have a marquee victory over anyone. And the result is Ball State is left out of the BCS Bowl games.


10) Missouri Tigers: The more I look at the Tigers just hanging out in the Big 12 North, the more they scare me. Missouri will play the Big 12 Championship in their back yard, and I keep getting these visions of them playing spoilers. If they knock of Texas, Texas Tech or Oklahoma, the BCS computers may explode.


11) Ohio State: The best part about this ranking is we will not have to watch Ohio State be the whipping boy for another SEC team in a BCS game. That alone makes this season better than either of the previous two years.


12) Texas Tech: Texas Tech fell back into their old ways and old habits on Saturday night. The Air Raid offense was grounded, and the Texas Tech defense looked like Swiss cheese. Texas Tech can still factor into the Big 12 race but they are likely out of running for a BCS Championship.


13) Georgia Bulldogs: It just wasn’t the season for Mark Richt and his boys. They get in state rival Georgia Tech this weekend. Other than that, they will play in a New Years day game, which is great, but it will seem extremely anti-climatic.


14) Oklahoma State: The Cowboys have had a great season, and things could get even better by next week this time. Oklahoma State has the opportunity to play spoiler when they take on the red hot Oklahoma Sooners. Oklahoma State has a history of kicking the Sooners when they are at their best, pulling the upset this time could prove to be as sweet as a trip to a BCS game.


15) Cincinnati Bearcats: Look who showed up and won the Big East. I have to admit that I did not see that one coming. Now the biggest question in Cincinnati is where their head coach will end up as he is high on the Tennessee Vols wish list. The way he handles the next few weeks going into his BCS game could prove to be very important to the Bearcats welfare.


16) TCU: Great year played some great football. Their two losses came against two BCS teams, really TCU did everything they were supposed to do, but just did not have enough in the tank. This is the life that is college football.


17) Oregon State: One win away from the unthinkable, a trip to the Rose Bowl. Truly Oregon State upending USC and taking their spot in the Rose Bowl would have to go down as one of the all time great moments in college football. However, before the Beavers can pack their bags for southern Cal, they must take on in state rival Oregon in the Civil War battle. You can bet the atmosphere will be crazy for this game.


18) BYU: When the season opened, the Cougars wanted to go undefeated and make it to a BCS game. When the hopes for a BCS season went down the tubes early in the season, the goal then became beat Utah. Well after Saturday, that goal will go unfulfilled as well. In the end of the day, BYU had a good season, but they fell well short of any expectations they had for themselves.


19) Oregon: The Ducks have hung around this spot of the poll all season and truth is told they have had a solid season; this is a team that knew they were going into a transition year of sorts. Not to mention they have gone through about 300 quarterbacks thanks to injuries. Nonetheless, the Ducks have a chance to play spoiler on Saturday when they travel to take on Oregon State and if they can do that, the season will not seem so bad.


20) Michigan State: So close but yet such a long way to go, that was the story all season for Michigan State. The Spartans were crushed both times they matched up against the elite of the Big 10. That is what happens when a team has a one dimensional attack. Good teams know how to stop it and leave you looking for answers.


21) Northwestern: This has been an amazing season for Northwestern. No many saw this team working their way into a bowl game but that is exactly what they have done. I tip my hat to them on a great season.


22) Boston College: Maybe they are the best team in the ACC; at this point I am not even sure what that means. The Eagles have a chance to play for an ACC Championship, and no matter who stumbles into that game, the Eagles have a chance to win.


23) Ga. Tech: Talk about a great first year. Paul Johnson leaves Navy comes to Ga. Tech and he has his option offense rolling at full speed already, and he has yet to bring in all his players. Ga. Tech has over achieved this season, and that is not a bad thing.


24) Florida State: Bobby Bowden will do whatever it takes to make sure he sticks around long enough to pass Joe Pa on the all time wins list. Why else would FSU be playing up to this level this late in the season?


25) West Virginia: Pat White had his best game of the season on Saturday, but it was far too little too late to save the season.

Monday, November 10, 2008

Walker-Sports Top 25 Poll:Bama Survives


It seems like this college football season just gets better and better every week. This past weekend was no exception. Alabama was taken to the limit down in the Bayou, Utah had to fight to keep their BCS hopes alive and Texas Tech is still proven critics wrong by blowing out a top 10 team. Now let’s take a look and see how the top 25 shakes out as teams are feeling the pressure with crunch time getting closer.



1) Alabama: Nick Saban took his boys into very hostile territory but they stayed focus fought hard and came away with the win. This may have been the most impressive win of the season for Alabama. They locked up the SEC West, but they got a Gator buzz saw waiting for them in the SEC championship game.


2) Texas Tech: The Red Raiders flexed their muscles Saturday night against Oklahoma State. The Cowboys never had a chance. Graham Harrell was simply amazing as was Michael Crabtree. I have a sneaking suspicion that Texas Tech is going to screw something up in the BCS this year.


3) Florida Gators: The best team in football right now. The Ole Miss game is long forgotten and Urban Myers has his team on a mission. If they win out it would be hard to deny this one lost team that is for sure.


4) Oklahoma Sooners: The Sooners were underrated all season and that seems to work for them. Remember they began the season ranked 19th in 2000 when they won a national title. Oklahoma gets a week off, and then they will be thrust into the national spotlight when they take on Texas Tech. A win there and the Sooners will have a major claim to get back into the title hunt.


5) USC: The Trojans fell into this spot simply because they have stuck around long enough. And hopefully that will not be the reason the sneak into the BCS Championship game. Although USC vs. Penn State in the Rose Bowl is not appealing either. This is not Pete Carrols best team and they proved that with another lackluster performance again Cal on Saturday.


6) Utah: They may just be legit this season. Utah survived a tight scare against an upset minded TCU on Thursday night. As a result they live to fight another day, and their BCS hope are a live and well, which actually could spell trouble for fellow BCS buster Boise State.


7) Texas Longhorns: The Texas Longhorns have gotten a lot of love in the BCS Poll and in all honesty it is difficult to dispute that love either. Texas is a very good team and if given a chance they could ruin some ones trip to a bowl game.


8) Boise State: They have done everything right, except they do not have a marquee win. And in the end that could be what cost this team even when they complete the year undefeated. When it’s all said and done Utah will have wins over TCU and BYU both ranked teams. Boise will just have another successful run in the WAC. You cannot live off the success of 2007 for so long.


9) Penn State: I was given the hint to bet Iowa in this game and I should have taken them up on it. Joe Pa’s crew finally found reality on a cold windy Saturday afternoon. So the National Title is out of the question, but Penn State still has the inside track to make the Rose Bowl and they better remain focus if they want to keep that effort up.


10) Ball State: Much like Boise State, Ball State will do everything right this season but still be left sitting on the sidelines. When your marquee wins are against Indiana and Navy there’s just not much to hang your hat on there. Maybe they should create a special “Best of the Rest” Bowl game where Boise State and Ball State can match up.


11) Missouri Tigers: The more I watch this team just hanging out in the Big 12 North the more dangerous I think they are. Missouri got beat up when they had to travel through the Big 12 South, but now they have had easily sailing and they will continue to as they go through the end of the season. The Tigers will be on upset alert when they walk into the Big 12 Championship in a few weeks.


12) Ohio State: The Buckeyes have not had a bad season, their only loses have come against Penn State and USC, plenty of other teams can claim losing to either one of those schools. However, OSU has not done anything exceptional this season either. Even if they manage to blow out Michigan, I doubt anyone will be surprised or impressed.


13) Florida State: I can honestly say I did not expect to see the Florida State Seminoles sitting this high in the rankings this year. Granted they have not done a whole lot to deserve this spot, but they have handled their business. Much like OSU and several other teams this season FSU have not had any impressive victories, but they keep plugging along and racking up the wins. I like this team to make the Orange Bowl.


14) Georgia Bulldogs: When the dust settles, this will be considered a disappointing season for the Bulldogs. They will not play for a national title or an SEC title. However, the rumors and the possibility of losing head coach Mark Richt could prove to be more devastating than any lost on the field.


15) BYU: Just hanging around and waiting to play spoiler to Utah’s BCS party, that is what the Cougars can hang their hat on this season.


16) Michigan State: Michigan State could have a massive year if they can keep their heads on straight. A win against Penn State in a few weeks and MSU can pack their bags for the Rose Bowl. I’m not sure they want to square off against USC, but just making the Rose Bowl would be a massive accomplishment for this team.


17) Oklahoma State: Saturday night was ugly. There’s really no other way to put it. The Cowboys had no answer for Texas Tech. Their defensive line could not get any penetration and the secondary acted like they had never heard of Michael Crabtree. Well, I am sure after three touchdowns, they know who he is now.


18) North Carolina Tar Heels: Butch Davis is doing his best to leave his mark on this program. They racked up another impressive win over a conference foe. Now they have to win out and make it to the ACC Championship to make this season a success.


19) TCU: They tried to play spoiler twice this season, and unfortunately they just did not have enough in the tank.


20) Tulsa: Not a whole lot to this Tulsa squad, because of the conference they play in they don’t have many options to reach a big bowl game, and that is a shame. This is a fun team to watch, and everyone should catch them at least once just so they can see what the spread offense looks like when it is run to perfection.


21) Wake Forest: Wake Forest pounded the Virginia Cavaliers early in the first half then held on in the second half to get the win. The important part of this victory is it gave WFU a little bit of life to look forward to going ahead into the season.


22) LSU: It is not LSU’s year. There is really no other way to put it. A young quarterback means a lot of growing pains, especially in a conference like the SEC where teams like to apply pressure and get after you.


23) Cincinnati Bearcats: Two big wins in consecutive weeks and the Bearcats have broken into the Top 25. Not only that, but with the jumble that is the Big East, it is not out of the question for the Bearcats to sneak into a BCS game.


24) Pittsburgh: This Pittsburgh team is playing their ass off right now. Perhaps they are trying to save their coaches job. No matter what it is, they are in the thick of things and have a chance to reach a BCS game as well.


25) Oregon State: How about the Beavers just hanging around out west and with that win over USC they have earned the right to make this list. It would take a bit of luck, but Oregon State could luck up and make the Rose Bowl, now that would be something.

Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Walker-Sports Top 25 Poll:Nick Saban Did It


Another great week of college football and we have a new team topping the polls once again. Not only that we saw one of the greatest football games ever. Let’s take a look around and see where everyone ended up, once the rankings shook out.

1) Alabama: A good win on Saturday, nothing too impressive, but they got the job done, and that’s what matters. More importantly Bama managed to out wait the Longhorns and were able to capitalize on their miscue.
2) Texas Tech: What a game on Saturday night. One of the best games I have ever seen. The Red Raiders proved me wrong, and took a much needed step to legitimize their program. They may not be the number one team in the nation, but they played like they were for three hours on Saturday.


3) Penn State: This is when being idol hurts you. Not to mention playing in the Big 10 hurts as well. Penn State was at home on Saturday and got leap forged. This may be the case for Joe Pa’s bunch all season since they do not have a signature win to hang their hat on.

4) Florida Gators: Complete domination. I warned everyone about Tim Teabow having a big game, and in my opinion he threw his name right back into the Heisman talk. Great game plan by Urban Myers and the Bulldogs never had a chance.
5) Oklahoma Sooners: Just hang out wait, and take care of business. The Sooners have a date with the Red Raiders coming up later in the season, and that means they have a chance to throw their hat back into the title hunt. Just keep plugging away.


6) USC: The beast of the Pac-10 is still scary out west, but not so much anywhere else in the country. For all intents and purposes the Trojans are out of the national picture, there are just too many good teams in better conferences but a rematch against OSU in the Rose Bowl doesn’t look that bad.


7) Utah: Just lurking around and waiting to crash the BCS. Saturday’s game against TCU will be huge. With BYU out the picture this becomes the day of the year.

8) Texas Longhorns: It’s a shame someone had to lose that game on Saturday night. Unfortunately Texas had to lose the game and they lost their number 1 ranking. There’s still a lot of football left and the Texas Longhorns can work their way back into the title hunt with the competition in the Big 12.


9) Boise State: I just love this WAC team. They should be in the Pac 10, but that is another story. They may not be able to pull the upset they did a couple years ago, but this is a good team that will once again make the BCS exciting.
10) Oklahoma State: I have a bad feeling things won’t go well for the Oklahoma State Cowboys. They had a great season. But Texas Tech and Oklahoma will be hungry and have a lot to prove. There’s a good chance OSU blows those games and ends up missing out on everything. A trip to a solid bowl game will be nice though.


11) Ball State: Only here because they are undefeated and that means a lot to all of us here at Walker-Sports. Ball State will not make the BCS nor should they, but this is a pretty cool story to watch unfold.

12) Missouri Tigers: The Tigers don’t have to do a whole lot. Just win the Big 12 North (witch should not be too hard). Then they have a shot at Texas, Texas Tech or OU in the Big 12 Championship game. Then all they need is one win and they are BCS bound.

13) Ohio State: The Big 10 is not what they used to be. The best thing the Buckeyes can do is hope that Penn State makes the BCS Championship and then they can sneak into the Rose Bowl. Oh wait that would mean a date with USC, not sure they want that either.

14) Florida State: Some how this team has climbed its way back into the ACC race and suddenly they don’t look that bad all around. They are not a good team, but there is a good chance they will make yet another appearance in a BCS game.


15) TCU: TCU has done everything right this season. This weekend they have a chance to put their mark on the national scene by taking down Utah. This could prove to be their game of the year.

16) Georgia Bulldogs: Two blowouts against the top teams in the SEC. Georgia is lucky they landed in the top 20. The Georgia Bulldogs are not who we thought they were. Chances are this team will stay close to home in the Peach Bowl.

17) BYU: They are still a top 25 team but much like Ball State it’s because of their record and nothing else. Don’t expect this team to do much of anything. 18) Michigan State: Solid running game, good team in a bad conference. The Capital One Bowl will be a good place for this team to land.
19) LSU: Much like Georgia, LSU has proven to be a fraud. Inexperience at the quarterback position and an overrated defense helped this team to get such a high ranking.

20) North Carolina Tar Heels: The Tar Heels are like the majority of the ACC they are an average team that is good enough to be in most any game, but not good enough to make any serious waves in the water. Right now the Tar Heels have a chance to play in the ACC Championship game; it will be interesting to see how they finish up.


21) West Virginia: West Virginia is not a very good team. Lucky for them they play in the Big East, and they are still right in the thick of things. Don’t be surprised if WVU makes an appearance in a BCS game.

22) Cal: Ranked in the top 25 two weeks in a row, congratulations. Oh yeah, good win over Oregon on Saturday.

23) Georgia Tech: Another ACC team that has the same M.O. as pretty much everyone else in the conference adds another team to the log jam that is the ACC.


24) Minnesota: Well guess it was only a matter of time before this team returned to reality. Good for them for taking advantage of a weak schedule and turning things around. Even though the Gophers won’t rock any boats this year they will go to a bowl game and that’s a lot better than their 1-11 mark last season.

25) Tulsa: They had a great run going for them and it came to an end this past week. Nonetheless this is still a fun team to watch. Check them out and see exactly how the spread offense was meant to run.

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Walker-Sports Top 25 Poll:Texas Does it Again


The college football season just keeps rolling on, and things are getting tense. The Big 12 and the SEC appear to be ready to go down to the wire. However, there are plenty of other schools from around the country who are ready to put their stamp on the title hunt as well. Let’s take a look at where everyone stands in the Walker-Sports Top 25 Poll after another week of action.

1) Texas Longhorns: The Longhorns has their first true test of the season and they handled it well. Oklahoma State game at Texas with everything they had, but in the end, Colt McCoy and company proved to be too tough to bring down.


2) Alabama: On the road in the SEC, no problem for Nick Saban’s crew. Alabama made the trip to Tennessee and they put together a solid performance. With LSU getting knocked off, the SEC West should be all Bama’s for the taking.


3) Penn State: Great game on the road in a hostile environment that has dominated Penn State since the 1970’s. To this point it has been the Penn State spread offense that has been the talk of the town. However, Saturday night PSU showed they still have a dominate defense. The Buckeyes had no where to run and were shut down all day long.


4) Florida Gators: Kentucky was supposed to be a test and the Gators beat them 63-5. Do you think that Urban Myers was looking to get some extra love from the pollsters by running up the score? It wouldn’t be the first time he tried such an act.


5) Texas Tech: Texas Tech just might be real… maybe. Saturday they went on the road to Kansas and destroyed them. Granted, Kansas does not appear to be as good as we originally thought, but the Red Raiders are a team that must be respected. The schedule will not get any easier with top ranked Texas coming up next weekend.


6) Georgia Bulldogs: The Georgia Bulldogs are legit. Don’t believe me? Take a look at the 52-38 thumping they put on LSU, the worst home lost the Tigers have ever suffered. Georgia is legit and they are going to make a strong play to win the SEC. A rematch with Alabama could be huge.


7) Oklahoma Sooners: The Oklahoma Sooners are doing everything right. But time is running short on them if they want to get back into the National Title hunt. As long as Texas is winning, the Sooners will continue to be locked out of the Big 12 title race and as a result the national title as well.


8) USC: I keep getting this sneaking feeling that USC is going to back their way into the BCS scene. USC was not impressive in their win over Arizona but then again Arizona is not ranked. Nonetheless, USC is still doing their thing and waiting for Oregon State to lose.


9) Utah: Not a whole lot to see here. Utah keeps trucking along and as long as they can avoid a pitfall Utah will keep their invitation to crash the BCS party in January.


10) Boise State: The kings of the WAC continue their reign at the top. Playing on random nights also helps to give this team plenty of national exposure. They will need to continue to impress and do it big time if they want back in on the BCS hunt.


11) Oklahoma State: A tough lost on the road for Mike Gundy and company. However, the Cowboys are still a stacked team. Saturday they get Iowa State and even though they dress like USC, they have a very long way to go before they can come close to playing like them. Oklahoma State will get their program back on track Saturday.


12) Tulsa: Undefeated and just rumbling along. Tulsa is a team that many have not seen, but they may run the best spread attack this side of Florida. Tulsa most likely won’t figure into the BCS scenario but they are a great team to watch and you can bet they’d give any WAC or Mountain West team a run.


13) Ball State: Much like Tulsa Ball State is just a good story. Jason Whitlock has been all about this team all year. Granted, that actually hurts this team in my book, but I can overlook that and see a good team in Ball State. Perhaps there should be an one off game were Tulsa and Ball State can meet up in since they will just miss out on the BCS but are far too good to play in their conferences respective bowls.


14) Missouri Tigers: Missouri snapped a two game losing streak by destroying Colorado. Mizzu is likely out of the Big 12 title hunt, but they are in prime position to make a repeat trip to play in the cotton bowl.


15) Florida State: Seemingly this team has come out of nowhere. Florida State has not done any very well all season, but they have not done anything poorly. Right now they have to be considered odds on favorite to win the ACC Championship.


16) TCU: TCU continues their winning ways with their beat down of Wyoming. The only blemish on the TCU record is a lost to a then top ranked Oklahoma Sooner’s team. It will be interesting to see where TCU lands when all the dust has settled.


17) BYU: Back to their winning ways, but t has to seem a little deflated with the hopes of a BCS game gone. One has to think that the BYU vs. Utah game will be huge with BYU’s goal to upset Utah’s season.


18) Minnesota: They aren’t very good but they are that bad. I liken Minnesota to a poor mans Texas Tech. They have avoided the dangerous chunks of their schedule and won the games they are supposed to win.


19) Michigan State: The Spartans knocked off their instate rivals Michigan on Saturday, but it seems as though everyone who plays UM has done that. Nonetheless, Michigan State has done enough to keep them in the upper part of the Big 10. It looks as though the Spartans will beat out Wisconsin for that trip to the Capital One Bowl.


20) Oregon: Welcome back Oregon Ducks! They’ve only gone through about 15 quarterbacks and there is a chance there are not even the best team in their own state. That hasn’t stopped them from working their way back into the top 25.


21) LSU: Horrible lost at home. That should seal LSU’s fate by knocking them out of the BCS and SEC title races. Now the Tigers will have to play for pride. Also I feel bad for Troy who gets LSU on Saturday.


22) North Carolina: This is a tough ranking for me personally. The Tar heels are a much improved team but I am not completely convinced they are a legitimate Top 25 team. They are alive and well in the ACC competition, so are 9 out of 12 teams. Time will tell with this squad.

23) South Florida: The Big East is horrible. South Florida is the highest ranked team and they are 1-2 in conference. If I was Tulsa I’d be clamoring right now to get the Big East BCS for themselves.


24) West Virginia: See #23 ranked South Florida.


25) Cal: The Cal Bears seem to make the random appearance in the Top 25 here and there, but they can never keep it together for multiple weeks. I have a feeling this trip to the Top 25 will not be any different.

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Capping College Football: Week Nine Lines

I just finished my college football line creation system and for the most part it’s pretty good. It still definitely needs some tinkering, but I think for the most part it’s offered some nice looks into some possible value bets.

Since there is still such a variance with how much the lines differ by (ranging from .5 – 16.5) most of the games settled in between 1 - 6 so I’m marking the ones larger than 6 as a mistake/in need of fine tuning for something and the one’s less than 4 as games that don’t offer too much value (I did 3 but… there was like a thousand games and I just don’t have that much money, I’m afraid). I’m not necessarily saying the odds makers fudged up these particular games either, I’m just saying that perhaps the games line is skewed a bit to get equal betting on either side (obviously).

All of the games that are in between 4 – 6 points from the overall line I’ve starred as possible value bets. We’ll see how it does – again, this is going to need some fine tuning just like my NFL system, but for the most part it should provide a great little tidbit of extra research for everyone… at least that’s what I’m hoping for. I’m very nice like that! I’m either going to hit the sweet spot with this differential, or I’m going to need to pick games with bigger or smaller differences in the two lines for the coming weeks. We’ll see how it does this week, though.

Before we get into some further discussion, let’s take a look at every single game. That’s right, each and every one. Even the circled ones! Woo-hoo! (The games with three stars are this weeks games with the best potential (hopefully) of offering some value. And by value, I mean helping me/us benefit monetarily.


Auburn @ West Virginia ***

My line: -9.5 / -10

Actual line: -3.5

New Mexico @ Air Force

My line: -3 / -3.5

Actual line: -5.5

Boise State @ San Jose State

My line: +15 / +15.5

Actual line: +7

Texas Tech @ Kansas

My line: -2

Actual line: +1.5

Eastern Michigan @ Ball State

My line: -22

Actual line: -23.5

Northwestern @ Indiana

My line: -3.5 / -4

Actual line: +9.5

Minnesota @ Purdue

My line: EV

Actual line: -1

Cincinnati @ Connecticut

My line: +4

Actual line: -2.5

Boston College @ North Carolina ***

My line: -7 / -7.5

Actual line: -2

Illinois @ Wisconsin ***

My line: -2.5

Actual line: +2.5

Wake Forest @ Miami (FL)

My line: +5.5 / +6

Actual line: -3

Central Michigan @ Toledo ***

My line: +9 / +9.5

Actual line: +3.5

Oklahoma @ Kansas State

My line: +7 / +7.5

Actual line: +19

Kentucky @ Florida ***

My line: -27 / -27.5

Actual line: -23

Baylor @ Nebraska

My line: -13

Actual line: -9.5

Louisiana Tech @ Army

My line: +1.5

Actual line: -2

UNLV @ BYU ***

My line: -16.5 / -17

Actual line: -23

Duke @ Vanderbilt

My line: EV

Actual line: -10

Fresno State @ Utah State ***

My line: +13 / +13.5

Actual line: +18.5

Rice @ Tulane

My line: +5

Actual line: -2.5

Oklahoma State @ Texas ***

My line: -7 / -7.5

Actual line: -12

Georgia @ LSU

My line: +7

Actual line: -1.5

South Florida @ Louisville ***

My line: EV

Actual line: +4

Rutgers @ Pittsburgh

My line: -8

Actual line: -9.5

Virginia @ Georgia Tech

My line: -11 / -11.5

Actual line: -12

Virginia Tech @ Florida State ***

My line: EV

Actual line: -5

UCLA @ California ***

My line: -12 / -12.5

Actual line: -17

North Carolina State @ Maryland ***

My line: -15.5

Actual line: -10.5

Michigan State @ Michigan ***

My line: EV

Actual line: +5.5

Kent State @ Miami (OH)

My line: -9.5 / 10

Actual line: -8

Southern Methodist @ Navy

My line: -14 /-14.5

Actual line: -12

Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois ***

My line: -3 / -3.5

Actual line: -7

New Mexico State @ Idaho

My line: EV

Actual line: +15

Wyoming @ TCU

My line: -17.5

Actual line: -31

Colorado @ Missouri

My line: -12.5

Actual line: -21

Mississippi @ Arkansas ***

My line: EV

Actual line: +4

Texas A&M @ Iowa State

My line: +6 / +6.5

Actual line: -3

Troy @ North Texas

My line: +7.5

Actual line: +24

Middle Tennessee State @ Mississippi State

My line: -12.5

Actual line: -13.5

Florida Atlantic @ Louisiana Monroe

My line: +4

Actual line: +1

Alabama @ Tennessee

My line: +4

Actual line: +6.5

Penn State @ Ohio State

My line: -14.5

Actual line: +1

Southern Mississippi @ Memphis

My line: +4.5

Actual line: +4

Notre Dame @ Washington ***

My line: +7 / +7.5

Actual line: +11

Colorado State @ San Diego State

My line: +4.5

Actual line: +7.5

Oregon @ Arizona State

My line: EV

Actual line: +3.5

USC @ Arizona

My line: +14

Actual line: +14

Nevada @ Hawaii ***

My line: +6

Actual line: EV

UCF @ Tulsa

My line: -8 / -8.5

Actual line: -21

Zee plays:

West Virginia (-3.5) North Carolina (-2) Wisconsin (+2.5) Central Michigan (-3.5) Florida (-23) UNLV (+23) Utah State (+18.5) Oklahoma State (+12) Louisville (+4) Virginia Tech (+5) UCLA (+17) Maryland (-10.5) Michigan (+5.5) Bowling Green (+7) Arkansas (+4) Washington (+11) Nevada (EV)

Note: Yes, I plan on playing all of those games. Probably for about $5 a game, but still – hopefully I can narrow it down after this test week so I’ll be able to bet more on the games. But that’s going to assume that this whole system works so… that actually brings us to our next point:

IMPORTANT NOTE: In the highly off-chance someone read this and was going, “Wow, this kid did a lot of work – I’m going to put a **** load of money on those picks!” please don’t. While I would recommend doing that with my NFL selections, I still don’t know how this college thing is going to shake out… so here, at least, is a warning for you not to try and bet the house on these – which I don’t know why someone would EVER do, but still… there are some strange, strange, people in this world that we live in.

Any remarks, comments, suggestions, disses ect are welcome as always!

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